To see what professional investors and traders can do, I researched the performance of the absolute BEST hedgefunds of the USA over 1 year and 5 year timeframes. During both periods the Stockmarket was rallying making it easy for hedgefunds to make big gains.
The performance that would put my experiment among the Top 20 performers of all hedgefunds is around: 20%-30% gains in 1 year 80%-100% gains in 5 years (15% every year) Top 20 in Mutual Funds made 350% in 10 years (14% every year) Of course we never know which Funds will be the best over the next 10 years. But any Fund who achieves those gains can be considered one of the very best, especially in a "negative interest rate" environment like we now have. Okay lets start this experiment and track how well i do! Since US$ is still the most used currency i chose that currency. 1000 US$ as capital. Most derivatives that i will use are leveraged between 1,5 – 3 so for easy calculation i will assume a leverage of 2. To make this even more interesting i will start this experiment in a bear market! First position: short gold today at 1240$ Comments are closed.
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AuthorPascal |